{"id":12268,"date":"2025-12-10T16:36:14","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T21:36:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/iai.int\/?p=12268"},"modified":"2025-12-17T15:25:35","modified_gmt":"2025-12-17T20:25:35","slug":"perspectives-on-enso-dynamics-anomalies-and-cross-sectoral-relevance-of-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iai.int\/en\/perspectives-on-enso-dynamics-anomalies-and-cross-sectoral-relevance-of-predictions\/","title":{"rendered":"Perspectives on ENSO dynamics: anomalies and cross-sectoral relevance of predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI), in collaboration with the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the University of Colorado Boulder, hosted the second regional seminar on El Ni\u00f1o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and its implications for climate services across the Americas. Held on December 3, 2025, the event brought together hundreds of participants from across the continent, reflecting the growing interest in strengthening the interfaces between science and policy for climate resilience.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Anna Stewart-Ibarra, Executive Director of the IAI, opened the session by emphasizing the importance of collaborative efforts to make scientific knowledge accessible for decision-making. \u201cThis initiative responds to the priorities identified by our member countries: strengthening climate services and understanding the uncertainties and impacts of ENSO events,\u201d she said.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The&nbsp;webinar&nbsp;featured a keynote presentation by Shang-Ping Xie, a leading climate scientist at the University of California San Diego, who shared innovative insights into the dynamics of the 2023 El Ni\u00f1o phenomenon. His analysis revealed that, unlike&nbsp;previous&nbsp;strong El Ni\u00f1o episodes, the 2023 phenomenon developed with weak westerly wind anomalies, challenging traditional assumptions about the predictability of ENSO. Xie highlighted the role of La Ni\u00f1a preconditions and inter-basin interactions, emphasizing the need to consider global links between the oceans and the atmosphere in future forecasts.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Following the scientific session, two interactive panels&nbsp;showcased&nbsp;national and sectoral experiences in applying ENSO information:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>National Climate Services Panel: Experts from El Salvador, Argentina, and Colombia shared strategies for integrating ENSO forecasts into risk management and agricultural planning. Jacquelyn Rivera (El Salvador) presented the country&#8217;s pioneering work on impact-based forecasting, while Pedro&nbsp;DiNezio&nbsp;(Argentina) highlighted the importance of post-event assessments to improve prediction models. Julieta Cerna (Colombia) discussed advances in ENSO monitoring and communication, highlighting the challenges posed by evolving ocean patterns.&nbsp;&nbsp;<br>&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sectoral Climate Services Panel: Representatives from Peru, Cuba, and Costa Rica illustrated how ENSO information supports agricultural, health, and energy systems. Irene&nbsp;Trebejo&nbsp;(Peru) showed the success of agroclimatic technical tables and community platforms, while Pablo Ortiz (Cuba)&nbsp;demonstrated&nbsp;how climate-health models&nbsp;anticipate&nbsp;disease outbreaks. Berni Fallas (Costa Rica) explained how ENSO forecasts guide energy planning in a country that relies heavily on hydroelectric power.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The discussions reinforced a key message: ENSO is no longer a phenomenon limited to the tropical Pacific and is&nbsp;determined&nbsp;by interactions between basins and global warming trends. Participants agreed on the urgency of developing regional definitions and indices, improving forecast resolution, and promoting the joint design of climate services with end users.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Concluding the session, Stewart-Ibarra called for continued collaboration: \u201cBy strengthening the links between science, meteorological services, and sectors such as health, energy, and agriculture, we can improve resilience and well-being throughout the Americas.\u201d&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You\u00a0can\u00a0watch\u00a0the\u00a0full\u00a0recording\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/oSCEo-4gfG4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>See the agenda <a href=\"http:\/\/iai.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/ENSO_Agenda_Dec2025.pdf\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-white-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/iai.int\/en\/boletin_425\/\" style=\"background-color:#638c3d\">Back to index<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI), in collaboration with the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the University of Colorado Boulder, hosted the second regional seminar on El Ni\u00f1o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and its implications for climate services across the Americas. Held on December 3, 2025, the event brought together hundreds of participants from across [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12359,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3500],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12268","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-newsletter-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Perspectives on ENSO dynamics: anomalies and cross-sectoral relevance of predictions - IAI - Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/iai.int\/en\/perspectives-on-enso-dynamics-anomalies-and-cross-sectoral-relevance-of-predictions\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Perspectives on ENSO dynamics: anomalies and cross-sectoral relevance of predictions - IAI - Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI), in collaboration with the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the University of Colorado Boulder, hosted the second regional seminar on El Ni\u00f1o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and its implications for climate services across the Americas. 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