{"id":15137,"date":"2026-05-12T16:41:25","date_gmt":"2026-05-12T21:41:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/iai.int\/?page_id=15137"},"modified":"2026-05-16T16:45:17","modified_gmt":"2026-05-16T21:45:17","slug":"climate-sensitive-early-warning-system-for-the-dengue-virus-and-its-transmitting-vector","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/iai.int\/en\/climate-sensitive-early-warning-system-for-the-dengue-virus-and-its-transmitting-vector\/","title":{"rendered":"SG-05: Climate-Sensitive Early Warning System for the Dengue Virus and Its Transmitting Vector"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Climate-Sensitive Early Warning System for the Dengue Virus and Its Transmitting Vector, with Community Action<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Principal Investigator:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yazenia Linares, Centro Meteorol\u00f3gico Provincial Habana-Artemisa-Mayabeque,&nbsp;Cuba<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2980-5120\">https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2980-5120<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Co-PI: <\/strong>Dr. C. Paulo L\u00e1zaro Ortiz Bult\u00f3. Instituto de Meteorolog\u00eda (INSMET), Cuba<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Coordinating counterpart in Health: <\/strong>Madelaine Rivera S\u00e1nchez. Direcci\u00f3n Nacional de Vigilancia y Lucha Antivectorial del MINSAP, Cuba<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>SAT-DENCLIM is an innovative bioclimatic early warning initiative designed to anticipate the risk of dengue by integrating climate, entomological, virological, epidemiological, and socio-environmental data. In light of the impact of climate change on the spread of vector-borne diseases in Latin America and the Caribbean, it proposes shifting from reactive responses to preventive management based on scientific evidence and proactive action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on Bult\u00f3\u2019s methodology, the system combines integrative indices, predictive models, advanced spatial analysis, and epidemiological surveillance to identify risk patterns and conditions favorable for dengue transmission. Its flexible design allows it to adapt to different territorial scales and strengthen the response capacity of health systems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Initially implemented in Old Havana, Cuba, SAT-DENCLIM generates risk maps, alert levels, and one- to three-month forecasts, guiding preventive interventions in vulnerable areas. Notable results include the identification of climatic thresholds, the reduction of&nbsp;<em>Aedes aegypti<\/em>&nbsp;breeding sites and dengue cases, and the strengthening of coordination between institutions and communities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With the support of the IAI and the Pan American Health Organization, SAT-DENCLIM is positioned as a regional climate intelligence platform applied to health, with the potential for replication across Latin America and the Caribbean.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Download the policy brief <a href=\"http:\/\/iai.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/CEH_Brief_SG-5_en.pdf\">here<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:48px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Climate-Sensitive Early Warning System for the Dengue Virus and Its Transmitting Vector, with Community Action Principal Investigator: Yazenia Linares, Centro Meteorol\u00f3gico Provincial Habana-Artemisa-Mayabeque,&nbsp;Cuba https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2980-5120 Co-PI: Dr. C. Paulo L\u00e1zaro Ortiz Bult\u00f3. Instituto de Meteorolog\u00eda (INSMET), Cuba Coordinating counterpart in Health: Madelaine Rivera S\u00e1nchez. Direcci\u00f3n Nacional de Vigilancia y Lucha Antivectorial del MINSAP, Cuba EXECUTIVE SUMMARY [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":15140,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-15137","page","type-page","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>SG-05: Climate-Sensitive Early Warning System for the Dengue Virus and Its Transmitting Vector - IAI - Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/iai.int\/en\/climate-sensitive-early-warning-system-for-the-dengue-virus-and-its-transmitting-vector\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"SG-05: Climate-Sensitive Early Warning System for the Dengue Virus and Its Transmitting Vector - IAI - Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Climate-Sensitive Early Warning System for the Dengue Virus and Its Transmitting Vector, with Community Action Principal Investigator: Yazenia Linares, Centro Meteorol\u00f3gico Provincial Habana-Artemisa-Mayabeque,&nbsp;Cuba https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-2980-5120 Co-PI: Dr. C. Paulo L\u00e1zaro Ortiz Bult\u00f3. Instituto de Meteorolog\u00eda (INSMET), Cuba Coordinating counterpart in Health: Madelaine Rivera S\u00e1nchez. 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Paulo L\u00e1zaro Ortiz Bult\u00f3. Instituto de Meteorolog\u00eda (INSMET), Cuba Coordinating counterpart in Health: Madelaine Rivera S\u00e1nchez. Direcci\u00f3n Nacional de Vigilancia y Lucha Antivectorial del MINSAP, Cuba EXECUTIVE SUMMARY&hellip;","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/iai.int\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/15137","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/iai.int\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/iai.int\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iai.int\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iai.int\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15137"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/iai.int\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/15137\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15387,"href":"https:\/\/iai.int\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/15137\/revisions\/15387"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iai.int\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15140"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/iai.int\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15137"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}