Documenting, understanding and projecting changes in the hydrological cycle in the American cordillera (CRN 2047)

Project information

 

 

This research continued in SGP-CRA 2047, with the same title

Executive summary Outreach Investigators Students

Executive summary

Fresh water is becoming increasingly scarce in a warming and more crowded world. Better data are needed for effective management of threatened water supplies from many of the Americas’ mountain regions. This project examines hydrological cycles in several basins in Bolivia, Chile and Argentina as well as in the Western Cordillera of North America.

Goals

Provide and validate climate and runoff data for the past 300 years and identify causes of variability.

Document and model the shrinking of glaciers and how this modifies downstream water flow.

Assess how changing water supply impacts on economies and livelihoods; identify what this might mean for future water management, for policies and institutions.

First results

Long-term variation seen in a 700-year record of tree-ring widths allowed reconstruction of the rainfall variability in the high Andes. One major drought period, in the 14th century, had critical social impacts: open pre-Inca villages in lowlands were abandoned in favor of fortified sites, with evidence of local warfare starting during the driest years in the tree-ring record (1314-1315); two major droughts followed in the same century.

There is a slight trend of declining regional streamflow in Chile during the past one hundred years, and there were two major climate regime changes: in 1945 average annual rainfall dropped by 31%, to recover only in 1977 (by 28%). These sudden variations coincide with well-known shifts in the atmospheric circulation over the North Pacific (the Pacific Decadal Oscillation). Expected future oscillations, superimposed on the trend towards less rainfall, may have major impacts on water availability.

In some critical zones, adaptation to climate change will be more pressing and more challenging than in others. A drought severity index for the southern Andes (35.5°-39.5°S), for example, indicates higher drought risk in 1920-2002 than in the reconstructed 1346-1919 record. If continued, this trend would certainly threaten agriculture and hydroelectric power production.

Outreach

Project investigators

B. H. Luckman – Luckman@uwo.ca
Department of Geography, University of Western Ontario, Canadá

Co-Investigators
Jose Villanueva-Diaz (INIFAP, Mexico), Jaime Argollo (Universidad Mayor de San Andrés, Bolivia), Ricardo Villalba (IANIGLA, Argentina), Antonio Lara (Universidad Austral de Chile, Chile), Edmo Campos (Universidade de São Paulo, Brazil), Plus 16 other Co-PIs

Links to other IAI projects
This project collaborates with the Small Grant Projects for the Human Dimensions Climate change and irrigated agriculture (SGP-HD003) and Coming down the mountain: understanding the vulnerability of Andean communities to hydroclimatologic variability and global environmental change (SGP-HD-04).

List of publication
PDF File

Papers published by the project

INTER-AMERICAN INSTITUTE FOR GLOBAL CHANGE RE- SEARCH
Publications of the project CRN 2047 October 2012

Abraham EM, Villalba R. 2008. Society, desertification and climate change in the Argentinean Chilean Central Andes region. IHDP Update, 2: 31-35

Aceituno P, Prieto MR, Solari ME, Martínez A, Poveda G, Falvey M. 2009. The 1877-1878 El Niño episode: Associated impacts in South America. Climatic Change. 92: 389-416, doi: 10.1007/s10584-008-9470-5

Acuña-Soto R, Stahle DW, Villanueva-Diaz J. 2008. Drought, epidemic, disease, and massive population loss: 1,000 years of record in Mexico. Pp. 183-192. In: Global Climate Change and Extreme Weather Events: Understanding the contributions to infectious disease emergence. Institute of Medicine of the National Academies. Washington, D.C. 279 pp.

Altamiro A, Lara A. 2010. Deforestación en ecosistemas templados de la precordillera andina del centro-sur de Chile. Bosque (Valdivia) 31(1):53-64. ISSN 0717-9200, doi: 10.4067/ SO717-92002010000100007.

Altamirano A, Field R, Cayuela L, Aplin P, Rey-Benayas JM, Lara A. 2010. Woody species diversity in emperate Andean forests: the need for new conservation strategies. Biological Conservation 143 (2010) 2080–2091, doi:10.1016/j.biocon. 2010.05.016.

Alvarez A, Fasciolo G, Barbazza C, Lorenzo F, Balanza M. 2008 Impactos en el agua subterránea de un sistema de efluentes para riego. El sistema Paramillo. Lavalle. Mendoza, Revista de la Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias, UNCuyo. Tomo XL.Vol. 40, No 2:61-81.

Anderson EP, Marengo J, Villalba R, Halloy S, Young B, Cordero D, Gast F, Jaimes E, Ruiz D. 2011. Consequences of Climate Change for Ecosystems and Ecosystem Services in the Tropical Andes. In: Climate Change and Biodiversity in the Tropical Andes, S.K. Herzog, R. Martínez, P.M. Jørgensen, H. Tiessen (eds.), Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI) and Scientific Committee on Problems of the Environment (SCOPE), 1-19 pp.

Aravena JC, Luckman BH. 2009. Spatio-temporal rainfall patterns in southern South America. International Journal of Climatology. 29, 14, 2106-2120 doi: 10.1002/joc.1761 

Argollo J, Soliz C, Villalba R. 2004. Potencialidad dendrocronológica de Polylepis tarapacana en los Andes Centrales de Bolivia. Ecología en Bolivia, 39: 5-24. ISSN 1605-2528.

Ballantyne AP, Baker PA, Chambers JQ, Villalba R, Argollo J. 2011. Regional differences in South American monsoon precipitation inferred from the growth and isotopic composition of tropical trees. Earth Interactions, 5 (5) 37, doi: 10.1175/2010EI277.1.

Barichivich J, Sauchyn DJ, Lara, A. 2009. Climate signals in high elevation tree-rings from the semiarid Andes of north-central Chile: Responses to regional and large-scale variability. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 281:320-333, doi:10.1016/j.palaeo. 2007.10.033.

Beedle MJ, Menounos B, Luckman BH, Wheate R. 2009. Annual Push Moraines as Climate Proxies. Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L20501, doi:10.1029/2009GL039533.

Bogino SM, Villalba R. 2008. Radial growth and biological rotation age of Prosopis caldenia Burkart in Central Argentina. Journal of Arid Environments 72:16–23, doi:10.1016/ j.jaridenv.2007.04.008

Boninsegna JA, Argollo J, Aravena JC, Barichivich J, Christie D, Ferrero ME, Lara A, Le Quesne C, Luckman BH, Masiokas M, Morales M, Oliveira JM, Roig F, Srur A, Villalba R. 2009. Dendroclimatological reconstructions in South America: A review. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 281: 210–228, doi:10.1016/ j.palaeo. 2009.07.020

Borrero LA, Borrazo K, Garibotti IA, Pallo MC. 2011. Concentraciones de pilas de rocas en la cuenca superior del Río Santa Cruz (Argentina). Magallania, 39(2): 193-206

Buytaert W, Vuille M, DeWulf A, Urrutia R, Karmalkar A, Celleri R. 2010. Uncertainties in climate change projections and regional downscaling: implications for water resources man- agement. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 14, 1247-1258.

Capps D L, Wiles GC, Clague JJ, Luckman BH. 2011 Tree-ring dating of the nineteenth- century advance of Brady Glacier and the evolution of two marginal lakes,Alaska. The Holocene, 21, 1-9

Casteller A, Christen M, Villalba R, Martínez H, Stöckli V, Leiva JC, Bartelt P. 2008. Validating numerical simulations of snow avalanches using dendrochronology: the Cerro Ventana event in Northern Patagonia, Argentina. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 8, 433-443.

Casteller A, Stoeckli V, Villalba R, Mayer AC. 2007. An evaluation of dendroecological dicators of snow avalanches in the Swiss Alps. Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research, 39:218-228, doi: I10.1657/1523-0430(2007)39[218:AEODIO]2.0.CO;2.

Casteller A, Villalba R, Araneo D, Stöckl, V. 2011. Reconstructing temporal patterns of snow avalanches at Lago del Desierto, southern Patagonian Andes. Cold Regions Science Technology, 67: 68–78, doi:10.1016/j.coldregions.2011.02.001.

Casteller A, Villalba R, Mayer A, Stockli V. 2009. Reconstrucción espacial y temporal de la ocurrencia de avalanchas de nieve en los Andes patagónicos utilizando técnicas dendrocronológicas. Revista Chilena de Historia Natural, 82: 245-264. doi: 10.4067/S0716- 078X2009000200007.

Casteller A, Villalba R, Mayer A, Stöckli V. 2009. Dendrochronological reconstruction of spatial and temporal patterns of snow avalanches in the Patagonian Andes. Reconstruccion es- pacial y temporal de la ocurrencia de avalanchas de nieve en los Andes patagonicos utilizando tecnicas dendrocronologicas. Revista Chilena de Historia Natura, 82: 245-264.

Casteller A, Christen M, Villalba R, Stöckli V. 2010. Using dendrochronology to validate nu- merical simulations of snow avalanches in the Patagonian Andes. In: Stoffel, M., et al (Eds.), Tree Rings and Natural Hazards: A State-of-the-Arts, Advances in Global Change Research 41:75-78, Springer.

Cerano-Paredes J, Villanueva-Díaz J, Fulé PZ, Cohen IS, Ávila JGA, Cepeda RDV. 2009. Reconstrucción de 350 años de precipitación para el suroeste de Chihuahua, México (Reconstructing 350 years of precipitation in southeast Chihuahua, México), Madera y Bosques, ISSN 1405-0471, 15(2):27-44 27.

Cerano Paredes J, Villanueva DJ, Cepeda RDV, Oviedo EHC, Sánchez Cohen I, Garcia VC. 2011. Variabilidad histórica de la precipitación reconstruida con anillos de árboles para el sureste de Coahuila. Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Forestales 3(4): 32-46.

Cerano Paredes J, Villanueva Díaz J, Cepeda RDV, Gonzáles JM, García VC. 2011. Sequías reconstruídas en los últimos 600 años para el noroeste de México, Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Agrícolas, p. 235-249.

Cerano Paredes J, González MR, Caciano RT, Saucedo JCR, Ávalos JE, Villanueva Díaz J. 2011. Variabilidad climática y frecuencias importantes para la región de Tancítaro, Michoacán. AGROFAZ 11(4): 95-100, ISSN: 1665-8892.

Cerano Paredes J, Villanueva-Díaz J, Valdez-Cepeda RD, Arreola-Ávila JG, Constante-García V . 2011. El Niño oscilación del Sur y sus efectos en la parte alta de la cuenca del río Nazas. Revista Chapingo Serie Ciencias Forestales y del Ambiente XII: 207-215, ISSN 0186-3231.

Cerano-Paredes J, Villanueva J, Fulé PZ. 2010. Reconstrucción de incendios y su relación con el clima para la reserva Cerro El Mohinora, Chihuahua. Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Forestales 1 (1):89-103.

Christie DA, Boninsegna JA, Cleaveland MK, Lara A, Le Quesne C, Morales MS, Mudelsee M, Stahle DW, Villalba R. 2009. Aridity changes in the Temperate-Mediterranean transition of the Andes since AD 1346 reconstructed from tree-rings. Climate Dynamics, 36, 1505–1521, doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0723-4.

Christie DA, Lara A, Barichivich J, Villalba R, Morales MS, Cuq E. 2009. El Niño-Southern Oscillation signal in the world’s highest-elevation tree-ring chronologies from the Altiplano, Central Andes, Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology. 281:309–319, doi: 10.1016/j.palaeo.2007.11.013.

Clague JJ, Menounos B, Osborn G, Luckman BH, Koch J. 2009. Nomenclature and resolution in Holocene glacial chronologies, Quaternary Science Reviews 28:2231–2238, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2008.11.016.

Cortés Barrera EN, Villanueva DJ, Estrada J, Nieto de Pascual P, Guerra de la Cruz V, Vázquez C. 2010. Utilización de Taxodium mucronatum Ten. Para determinar la variación estacional de la precipitación en Guanajuato. Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Forestales 1(1): 159-170.

Cuevas J, Calvo M, Little C, Pino M, Dassosri P. 2010. Are diurnal fluctuations in streamflow real? J.Hydrology and Hydraulics 3: 149-162, doi: 10.2478/v10098-010-0014-0.

Cuevas JG, Soto D, Arismendi I, Pino M, Lara A, Oyarzun C. 2006. Relating land cover to stream properties in southern Chilean watersheds: trade-off between geographic scale, simple size and explicative power. Biogeochemistry 81(3): 313-329, doi: 10.1007/s10533-006-9043-5.

Daniels L, Veblen T, Villalba R. 2007. Use of thin sections to improve age estimates of Nothofagus pumilio seedlings. Ecoscience 14(1):17-22, doi: 10.2980/1195-6860(2007)14 [17:UOTSTI]2.0.CO;2: doi: 10.4067/SO717-92002010000100007.

Demuth M, Pinard V, Petroniro A, Luckman BH, Hopkinson C, Dornes P, Comeau L. 2008. Recent and past-century variations in glacier resources of the Canadian Rocky Mountains: Nelson River system. (Variazioni recenti e secolari delle risorse glaciali nelle Montagne Rocciose canadesi: il system del Fiume Nelson) Terra Glacialis (Milan), Vol. 11 Special Issue “Mountain glaciers and climate changes in the last century”, pp 27-52.

Donoso CZ, Lara A, Escobar B, Premoli, Souto C. 2006. Las especies arbóreas de los bosques templados de Chile y Argentina autoecología. Marisa Cuneo Ediciones, pg. 68-91, ISBN: 978- 956-7173-27-3.

Donoso C, Lara A, Escobar B, Premoli A, Souto C. 2006. Fitzroya cupressoides (Molina) I.M Johnst. Pages 68-81 In: C. Donoso (ed) Las especies arbóreas de los bosques templados de Chile y Argentina: Autoecología. Marisa Cuneo Ediciones, Valdivia, Chile.

Edwards TWD, Birks SJ, Luckman BH, MacDonald GD. 2008. Climatic and hydrologic variability during the past millennium in the eastern Rocky Mountains and northern Great Plains of western Canada. Quaternary Research 70:188–197, doi:10.1016/j.yqres. 2008.04.013.

Faro B, Saurina M, Gómez ME. 2008. Incorporación de la Conciencia Hídrica en el Sistema Educativo Mendocino: Una experiencia en el marco de la Gestión Integral de los Recursos Hídricos (Incorporating Water Consciousness in the Mendoza Education System: an experience in IWRM) Medio Ambiente y Urbanización, Instituto Internacional de Medio.

Ambiente y Desarrollo, IIED–América Latina, Vol. 69:21-34.

Ferrero ME, Villalba R, 2009 Potential of Schinopsis lorentzii for dendrochronogical studies in subtropical dry Chaco forests of South America. Trees, 23:1275–1284, doi: 10.1007/s00468- 009-0369-1.

Fisher D, Osterberg E, Dyke A, Dahl-Jenden D, Demuth M, Zdanowicz C, Bourgeois J, Koerner RM, Mayewski P, Wake C, Kreutz K, Steig E, Zheng J, Yalcin K, Goto-Azuma K, Luckman BH, Rupper, S. 2008 The Mt. Logan Holocene- late Wisconsinan isotope record: tropical Pacific-Yukon connections. The Holocene 18, 667-677, doi: 10.1177/ 0959683 60 80 92236.

Gallego D, Garcia-Herrera R, Prieto R, Peña-Ortiz C. 2008. On the quality of climate proxies derived from newspaper reports – a case study, Clim. Past, 4, 11–18, 2008,
Garcia-Herrera R, Diaz HF, Garcia RR, Prieto MR, Barriopedro D, Moyano R, Hernández E. 2008. A Chronology of El Niño Events from Primary documentary Sources in Northern Perú. Journal of Climate, 21:1948-1962, doi: 10.1175/2007JCLI1830.1

Garibotti IA, Villalba R. 2007. Técnicas de liquenometría basadas en Rhizocarpon subgénero rhizocarpon para datar depósitos glaciares en los Andes Patagónicos. Boletín Geográfico 30, 60-68.

Garibotti I, Villalba R. 2009. Lichenometric dating using Rhizocarpon subgenus Rhizocarpon in the Patagonian Andes, Argentina. Quaternary Research 71, 271–283, doi:10.1016/ j.yqres. 2009.01.012.

Garibotti IA, Pissolito CI, Villalba R. 2011. Spatiotemporal pattern of primary succession in relation to mesotopographic gradients on recently deglaciated terrains in the Patagonian Andes. Arctic, Antarctic and Alpine Research, 43(4): 555-567, doi: 10.1657/1938-4246-43.4.555

Garibotti I, Pissolito C, Villalba R. 2011. Vegetation development on deglaciated rock outcrops from Glaciar Frías, Argentina. Arctic, Antarctic and Alpine Research, 43: 35-45, ISSN 1523- 0430, doi: 10.1657/1938-4246-43.1.35

Garibotti IA, Borrazo K, Borrero LA. 2011. Aplicación de técnicas liquenométricas en la ar- queología en Patagonia utilizando Rhizocarpon subgénero Rhizocarpon. In: Bosques, mon- tañas y cazadores: investigaciones arqueológicas en Patagonia Meridional. Borrero, L.A. & Borrazo K. (eds.), IMHICIHU-CONICET. Editorial Dunken, Buenos Aires. pp. 85-103.

Garreaud RD, Vuille M, Compagnucci RH, Marengo J. 2009. Present-day South American climate, Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 281:80–195, doi: 10. 1016/j.- palaeo.2007.10.032.

Gil-Montero R, Morales M, Villalba R. 2010. Población y economía en los Andes: las crisis de subsistencia en Talina entre los siglos XVII y XX. Surandino Monográfico 1(2): 1-32. UBA, Buenos Aires. ISSN 1851-9091.

Gil-Montero R, Villalba R. 2008. Las crisis del siglo XIX. En: Gil Montero, R. La construcción de Argentina y Bolivia en los Andes meridionales. Población, tierras y ambiente en el siglo XIX. Prometeo Libros, pp. 139-162, ISBN: 9789875742451.

Girardin MP, Sauchyn D. 2008. Three centuries of annual area burned variability in northwestern North America inferred from tree rings. The Holocene 18(2):205–214. doi: 10.1137/0959683607086759.

González, M, Lara A, Urrutia R, Bosnich J. 2011. Cambio climático y su impacto potencial en la ocurrencia de incendios forestales en la zona centro-sur de Chile (33o – 42o S). Bosque 32(3): 215 – 219, doi: 10.4067/S0717-92002011000300002.

Grau HR, Carilla J, Gil-Montero R, Villalba R, Araoz E, Masse G, Membiela M. 2010. Environmental history and forest regeneration in a degraded valley in the subtropical Argentina cloud forest life zone. In: Tropical Montane Cloud Forests: Science for Conservation and Management, L.A. Bruijnzeel, F.N. Scatena, L.S. Hamilton. (eds.), Cambridge University Press, 597-604.

Grau HR, Carilla J, Gil-Montero R, Araoz E, Villalba R, Masse G, Membiela M. 2006. Environmental history and forest regeneration in a degraded valley in the subtropical Argentina cloud forest life zone. In: Mountains in the Mist. Ecology and Conservation of Tropical Montane Cloud Forests. J. Juvik, F. Scatena, S. Brujnejk (Eds). University of Hawaii Press.

Hertel D, Therburg A, Villalba R. 2008. Above- and below-ground response by Nothofagus pumilio to climatic conditions at the transition from the steppe–forest boundary to the alpine treeline in southern Patagonia, Argentina. Plant Ecology & Diversity, 1: 21–33, doi: 10.1080/ 17550870802257026.

Ingram J, Stone J, Confalonieri U, Garvin T, Jutro P, Klink C, Luckman B H, Noellemeyer E, Toledo PM. 2007. Delivering Global Environmental Change Science to the Policy Process. In: Tiessen, H, Brklacich, M., Breulmann G. and Menezes, R. S. C. (eds) “Linking the Sciences of Environmental Change to Society and Policy – Lessons from 10 years of research networks in the Americas” SCOPE 68, Island Press, Washington D.C. p. 35-44.

Jansen E. Overpeck J, Briffa KR, Duplessy JC, Joos F, Masson-Delmotte V, Olago D, Otto- Bliesner B, Peltier WR, Rahmstorf S, Ramesh R, Raynaud D, Rind D, Solomina O, Villalba R, Zhang D. 2007. Palaeoclimate. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 433-495.

Jones PD, Briffa KR, Osborn TJ, Lough JM, van Ommen TD, Vinther BM, Luterbacher J, Wahl ER, Zwiers FW, Mann ME, Schmidt GA, Ammann CM, Buckley BM, Cobb KM, Esper J, Goosse H, Graham N, Jansen E, Kiefer T, Kull C, Küttel M, Mosley-Thompson E, Overpeck JT, Riedwyl N, Schulz M, Tudhope AW, Villalba R, Wanner H, Wolff E, Xoplaki E. 2009. High-resolution palaeoclimatology of the last millennium: a review of current status and future prospects. The Holocene 19, 3–49. doi: 10.1177/09596836 08098952.

Labraga JC, Villalba R. 2009. Climate in the Monte Desert: Past trends, present conditions, and future projections. Journal of Arid Environments, 73, 154–163, doi:10.1016/j.jaridenv. 2008.03.016.

Lara A, Little C, Donoso C, Moreno C. 2010. Investigación de largo plazo en Chile. Revista Chilena de Historia Natural, 83: 617-618.

Lara A, Little C, Urrutia R, McPhee J, Álvarez-Garretón C, Oyarzún C, Soto D, Donoso P, Nahuelhual L, Pino M, Arismendi I. 2009. Assessment of Ecosystem Services as an Opportunity for the Conservation and Management of Native Forests in Chile. Forest Ecology and Management 258:415–424. doi: 10.1016/j.foreco.2009.01.004.

Lara A, Solari ME, Prieto MR, Peña MP. 2012. Reconstruction of vegetation cover and land use c. 1550 and their change towards 2007 in the Valdivian Rainforest Ecoregion of Chile (35o – 43o 30 ́ S). Bosque 33(1): 13-23, doi: 10.4067/S0717-92002012000100002.

Lara A, Villalba R, Urrutia R. 2008. A 400-year tree-ring record of the Puelo River streamflow in the Valdivian rainforest Eco-region, Chile. Climatic Change Vol. 86:331-356. doi: 10.1007/s10584-007-9287-7.

Lara A, Urrutia R. 2010. The growing significance of conservation. The Chilean experience. In: J. Levitt (Ed.) Conservation Capital in the Americas. Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, Cambridge, MA. USA. Pp 5-14.

Lara A, Donoso C, Escobar B, Rovere A, Premoli A, Soto D, Bannister, J. 2006. Pilgerodendron uviferum (D.Don) Florin. In: C Donoso (ed): Las especies arbóreas de los bosques templados de Chile y Argentina. Autoecología. Marisa Cuneo Ediciones, Valdivia, Chile, p. 82-91.

Lara A, Little C, Nahuelhual L, Urrutia R, Díaz I. 2011. Lessons, challenges and policy recommendations for the management, conservation and restoration of native forests in Chile. In Figueroa, E (Ed). Biodiversity Conservation in the Americas: Lessons and Policy Recommendations. Universidad de Chile, Fundación Domeyko, Governo do Estado Sao Paulo. Servicios Graficos Besegraf Ltda, Santiago, Chile. Pp. 259 – 299 , 506 p.

Lara A, Reyes R, Urrutia R. 2006. Bosques Nativos. In pages 107-139 Instituto de Asuntos Públicos, Centro de Análisis de Políticas Públicas, Universidad de Chile (eds). Santiago. Informe País: Estado del Medio Ambiente en Chile 2005. Santiago, Chile.

Lara A, Urrutia R. 2011. Servicios ecosistémicos de los bosques nativos en Chile: Estado del arte y desafíos. In: Laterra, P., E. Jobbágy and J. Paruelo (Eds.). Servicios Ecosistémicos: Conceptos, Herramientas y Aplicaciones”. Ediciones INTA. Buenos Aires, Argentina (Invited chapter, Published). Pp 69-84.

Lara A, Urrutia R. A Chilean perspective on the challenges ahead. In: J. Levitt (Ed.) Conservation Capital in the Americas. Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, Cambridge, MA.

Lara A, Echeverría C, Thiers O, Huss E, Escobar B, Tripp K, Zamorano C, Altamirano A. Restauración ecológica de coníferas longevas: el caso de Alerce (Fitzroya cupressoides) en el sur de Chile. En: González-Espinosa, M., Rey-Benayas J.M., y Ramírez-Marcial, N. Restauración de bosques en América Latina. Ediciones Mundi-Prensa, Madrid, España.

Leiva JC, Espizua LE, Iturraspe RJ, Masiokas M, Norte FA, Villalba R. 2008. The response of the Argentinean glaciers to the climate of the XX and XXI centuries. Terra Glacialis – Special Edition, 179-192.

Le Quesne C, Acuña C, Boninsegna J, Rivera A, Barichivich J. 2008. Long-term glacier variations in the Central Andes of Argentina and Chile, inferred from historical records and tree-ring reconstructed precipitation. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, doi: 10.1016/j.palaeo.2008.01.039.

Litlle C, Lara A. 2010. Restauración ecológica para aumentar la provisión de agua como un servicio cosistémico en cuencas forestales del centro-sur de Chile. Bosque 31:(3) 175-178, ISSN 0717-9200.

Little C, Lara A, McPhee J, Urrutia R. 2009. Revealing the impact of forest exotic plantations on water yield in latge scale watersheds in South-central. Chile. Journal of Hydrology: 374: 162-170, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.06.011.

López L, Villalba R. 2010. Climate influences on the radial growth of Centrolobium micro- chaete, a valuable timber species from the tropical dry forests in Bolivia. Biotropica, 43(1): 41–49. DOI: 10.1111/j.1744-7429.2010.00653.x.

Luckman BH. 2010 Geoscience of Climate and Energy 6: “Tree Rings as Temperature Prox- ies” Geoscience Canada , 37, 1, 1-6.

Luckman BH. 2008 Forty years of rockfall accumulation at the Mount Wilcox Site, Jasper National Park, Alberta, Canada.Geographica Polonica, 81, 1, 79-91.

Luckman BH. 2010. Dendrogeomorphology and snow avalanche research, In Markus Stoffel,Michelle Bollschweiler, David R. Butler and Brian H. Luckman (eds) Tree rings and Natural Hazards: a state-of-the-art Springer, Advances in Global Change Research , Vol 41, 27-34.

Luckman BH. 2007. Dendroclimatology. In: Scott Elias (ed.) Encyclopedia of Quaternary Science, Elsevier, Volume 1 pp 465-475.

Luckman BH. 2006. Documenting, understanding and projecting changes in the hydrological cycle in the America Cordillera, IAI Newsletter issue 2, 2006 (October), p.6-8.

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Menounos B, Clague JJ, Osborn G, Luckman BH. 2009. Latest Pleistocene and Holocene Glacier Fluctuations in the Western Canada. Quaternary Science Reviews 28: (21-22) 2049– 2074, doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2008.10.018.

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Srur AM, Villalba R. 2009. Annual growth rings of the shrub Anarthrophyllum rigidum across Patagonia: Interannual variations and relationships with climate. Journal of Arid Environments 73:1074–1083, doi:10.1016/j.jaridenv.2009.06.008.

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Srur AM, Villalba R, Villagra P, Hertel D. 2008. Influencias de las variaciones en el clima y en la concentración de CO2 sobre el crecimiento de Nothofagus pumilio en la Patagonia. Revista Chilena de Historia Natural, 81: 239-256.

Srur AM, Villalba R, Baldi G. 2011. Variations in Anarthrophyllum rigidum radial growth, NDVI and ecosystem productivity in the Patagonian shrubby steppes, Plant Ecology, 212:1841-1854, doi: 10.1007/s11258-011-9955-6.

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St. Jacques JM, Sauchyn DJ. 2009. Increasing winter baseflow and mean annual streamflow from possible permafrost thawing, Northwest Territories, Canada. Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 36, L01401, doi:10.1029/2008GL035822.

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Villanueva-Díaz J, Paredes JC, Garcia VC, Oviedo EC, Santillán MH. 2008. Los Pinos Piñoneros del Noreste de México y su Respuesta Climática (The Climate Response of Pinyon Pines in Northeastern Mexico). Recursos Forestales – AGROFAZ, Volumen 8, Nr 3, 167-176. ISSN 1665-8892.

Villanueva-Díaz J, Cerano Paredes J, Constante G. Ávalos JE. 2009. Bosques de galería con ahuehuete (Taxodium mucronatum Ten.) en el Río Nazas:tasas de crecimiento y respuesta climática. Agrofaz 9(3): 134-143.

Villanueva-Díaz J, Martínez RM, Cerano Paredes J, Luckman BH. 2007. Distribución estructural del sabino o ahuehuete (Taxodium mucronatum Ten.) en márgenes del río Nazas. Agrofaz 7(3):87-108, ISSN: 16658892.

Villanueva Díaz J, Caciano RT, Saucedo JCR, Cerano Paredes J, Gonzálexz MR, Ávalos JE, García VC, Tostado MM. 2011. Respuesta hidrológica del sabino en bosques de galería del río San Pedro Mezquital, Durango. AGROFAZ 11(4): 77-86, ISSN: 1665-8892.

Villanueva-Díaz J, Stahle DW, Luckman BH, Cerano-Paredes J, Therrell MD, Cleaveland MK. 2007. Winter-spring precipitation reconstructions from tree rings for northeast Mexico. Climatic Change 83: 117-131, doi: 10.1007/s10584-006-9144-0.

Villanueva-Díaz J, Cerano PJ, Stahle DW, Constante GV, Vázquez SL, Estrada JA, Dios Benavides JS. 2010. Árboles longevos de México. Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Forestales 1(2): 7-29.

Villanueva-Díaz, J, Cerano-Paredes J, Rivera González M, Trucios RC, Stahle EDW, Constante VG, Estrada JA. 2010. Respuesta climática de Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii Mirb.) a la influencia de patrones de circulación general en el norte de México. Agrofaz 10(3): 234-246.

Villanueva-Díaz J, Jullian MG, Paredes JC, Garcia VC, Gonzalez LHM, Selem LV. 2009. Muestreo Dendrocronológico: colecta, preparación y procesamiento de nucleos de crecimiento y secciones transversales. INIFAP, CENID-RASPA, ISBN 978-607-425-141-8.

Villanueva-Díaz J, Paredes JC, García VC, Fulé PZ, Oviedo EC. 2009. Variabilidad hidroclimática histórica de la sierra de Zapalinamé y disponibilidad de recursos hídricos para Saltillo, Coahuila (Historical hydroclimatic variability of the Zapalinamé Sierra.

Villanueva-Díaz J, Stahle DW, Luckman BH, Paredes JC, Therrell MD, Morán R, Cleaveland MMK. 2007. Potencial dendrocronológico de Taxodium mucronatum Ten. Y acciones para su conservación en México. Ciencia Forestal 32 (101): 9-37.

Villanueva-Díaz J, Cerano Paredes J, Luckman BH, Stahle DW, Therrell MD, Estrada JA, Sánchez IC. 2007. Reconstrucciones paleoclimáticas con anillos de árboles en la cuenca Nazas- Aguanaval de la región hidrológica 36. Pp. 117-144. In I. Sánchez C., G. Chebhouni (compiladores), Procesos hidrológicos en zonas áridas y semiáridas: de la investigación a la acción. Libro científico No. 3, INIFAP CENID RASPA. Gómez Palacio, Durango. 197 pp.

Villanueva-Díaz J, Cerano Paredes J, Stahle DW, Luckman BH, Therrell MD, Cleaveland MK, Fulé PZ. 2011. La dendrocronología y reconstrucciones paleoclimáticas en el norte-centro de México Pp. 47-72, In: M. Caballero, B. Ortega G. (Compiladoras), Escenarios de cambio climático: Registros del Cuaternario en América Latina I. UNAM, Instituto de Geofísica, Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial. México, D.F. 408 Pp.

Villanueva-Díaz J, Cerano-Paredes J, Luckman BH, Estrada-Avalos J, Stahle DW, Sánchez Cohen, I, Therrell M D, Morán-Martínez, R. 2006 Precipitación y Flujo Histórico de la Cuenca Nazas-Aguanaval e Impacto en la Agricultura, INIFAP, Folleto Científico 19, Gómez Palacio, Durango, México. 44 p.

Villanueva-Díaz J, Cerano-Paredes J, Stahle DW, Therrell M D, Cleaveland MK, Luckman BH. 2005 Estudios paleoclimáticos en México utilizando anillos de crecimento de especies arbóreas. In. Benavides Solorio, J, Becerra Luna, F., Hernánez Tejeda, T., Gonzáles Sánchez and Flores Gernica, J. (eds.) Contribución al estudio de los Servicos Ambientales INIFAP, Campo Experimental Centro-Altos de jalisco, Libro Técnico, Num. 1 pp. 7-32.

Villarosa G, Outes V, Masiokas M, Villalba R, Rivas, S. 2008. El Monte Tronador – Historias de hielo y fuego. Sitios de Interés Geológico de la República Argentina. SEGEMAR (Servicio de Geología y Minería de la República Argentina), Buenos Aires. Vol. 2. pp. 628-641.

Vimeux F, Ginot P, Schwikowski M, Vuille M, Hoffmann G, Thompson LG, Schotterer U. 2009. Climate variability during the last 1000 years inferred from Andean ice cores: a review of methodology and recent results. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 281: 229–241, doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2008.03.054.

Vinebrooke RD, Thompson PL, Hobbs W, Luckman BH, Graham MD, Wolfe AP. 2010. Glacially mediated impacts of climate warming on alpine lakes of the Canadian Rocky Moun- tains. Verhandlungen des Internationalen Verein Limnologie 30, 9, 1449-1492.

Viviroli D, Archer D, Buytaert W, Fowler HJ, Greenwood GB, Hamlet AF, Huang Y, Koboltschnig G, Litaor MI, Lopez-Moreno JI, Lorentz S, Schaedler B, Schwaiger K, Vuille M, Woods R. 2010. Climate Change and mountain water resources: Overview and recommen- dations for research, management and politics, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 7:2829-2895, doi:10.5194/hessd-7-2829-2010 , doi:10.5194/hessd-7-2829-2010.

Vuille M, Milana JP. 2007. High-latitude forcing of regional aridification along the subtropical west coast of South America, Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 34, L23703, doi:10.1029/2007GL031899.

Vuille M, Francou B, Wagnon P, Juen I, Kaser G, Mark BG, Bradley RS. 2008. Climate change and tropical Andean glaciers – Past, present and future, Earth Sci. Rev., 89, 79-96, doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2008.04.002.

Vuille M, Kaser G, Juen I. 2008. Glacier mass balance variability in the Cordillera Blanca, Peru and its relationship with climate and the large-scale circulation. Global Planet. Change, 62(1-2), 14-28. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.11.003.

Watson E, Luckman BH. 2005. An exploration of the controls of pre-instrumental streamflow using multiple tree-ring proxies. Dendrochronologia 22: 225-234, doi:10.1016/ j. dendro.2005.05.006.

Watson E, Luckman BH. 2006. Long hydroclimate records from tree-rings in western Canada. Potential, problems and prospects. Canadian Water Resources Journal, Vol. 31(4)205-228.

Watson E, Luckman BH, Yu B. 2006 Long-term relationships between reconstructed seasonal mass balance at Peyto Glacier, Canada, and Pacific sea surface temperatures. The Holocene, Vol. 16, No. 6, 783-790, doi: 10.1191/ 0959683606hol973ft.

Watson E, Pederson GT, Luckman BH, Fagre DB. 2008. Glacier mass balance in the northern U.S. and Canadian Rockies: paleo-perspectives and 20th century change. In “Darkening Peaks: Glacier Retreat, Science and Society”, University of California Press, p. 141-153.

Wilson R, D’Arrigo R, Buckley B, Buntgen U, EsperJ, Frank D, Luckman B, Payette S, Vose R, Youngblut D. 2007. A matter of divergence: Tracking recent warming at hemispheric scales using tree ring data. Journal of Geophysical Research, 112, D17103, doi:10.1029/2006 JD008318.

Youngblut DK, Luckman BH. 2008. Maximum June-July temperatures in the southwest Yukon region over the last 300 years reconstructed from tree-rings. Dendrochronologia, 25:153–166, doi:10.1016/j.dendro.2006. 11.004.

Villalba R, Lara A, Masiokas MH, Urrutia R, Luckman BH, Marshall GJ, Mundo IA, Christie DA, Cook ER, Neukom R, Allen K, Fenwick P, Boninsegna já, Srur AM, Morales MS, Araneo D, Palmer JG, Cuq E, Aravena JC, Holz A, LeQuesne C. 2012. Unusual Southern Hemisphere tree growth patterns induced by changes in the Southern Annular Mode. Nature Geoscience, doi: 10.1038/NGEO1613.

Jones J. 2012. Tree rings and storm tracks. Climate Science. Published online.

Students

Ana Marina Srur, PHD, IANIGLA-CONICET, Argentina.
Carolina Barnez Gramcianinov, Undergraduate, Universidade de São Paulo, Brazil.
Christian Little, PHD, Universidad Austral de Chile, Chile.
Claudio Álvarez, Other, Universidad Austral de Chile, Chile.
Daniel Falaschi, Master, IANIGLA-CONICET, Argentina.
Gabriel Silvério, Undergraduate, Universidade de São Paulo, Brazil.
Heather Haines, Master, University of Western Ontario, Canada.
Heber Condori, Other, Universidad Mayor de San Andrés, Bolivia.
Jeanette Pacajes, Other, Universidad Mayor de San Andrés, Bolivia.
Lidio Lopez Callejas, Master, IANIGLA-CONICET, Argentina.
Marcelo Cabero, Undergraduate, Universidad Mayor de San Andrés, Bolivia.
Maria Eugenia Ferrero, Master, IANIGLA-CONICET, Argentina.
Mauricio Bucheri, PHD, IANIGLA-CONICET, Argentina.
Natalia Riquelme, Undergraduate, Universidad Austral de Chile, Chile.
Noemi Admonacil, Other, Universidad Austral de Chile, Chile.
Nuria Avendaño-Astorga, Master, UNAM, Mexico.
Omar Durán-Guerra, Master, Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, Mexico.
Rodolfo Moyano, Master, IANIGLA-CONICET, Argentina.
Rosana Abrutky, Master, Comisión Nacional de Energía Atómica, Argentina.
Sebastian Crespo, Master, IANIGLA-CONICET, Argentina.
Thais Souza, Undergraduate, Universidade de São Paulo, Brazil.